stop the legacy highway
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Where Are We Going? And Why Are We in This Handbasket?
That sentiment, sighted on a bumper sticker, sums up the dilemma the Wasatch Front faces as we contemplate our future. The powers that be would have us continue the road building frenzy that has characterized the past. For your consideration is an alternative vision of what the Wasatch Front would look like if we embraced mass transit.
Much has been made of Envision Utah's four growth scenarios. The scenarios play an important role in educating us to the complexities of growth planning: Vehicle Miles Traveled. Infrastructure costs per new resident. Density figures. Zoning requirements. The limits to growth are implicit in the scenarios, if you look for them. All the scenarios assume an inexorable growth rate: 2.7 million people in the 10 counties that make up the Wasatch Front and Back by the year 2020. Five million people by the year 2050.
The biggest component of any growth scenario is transportation. How are that many more people going to get to work, school or play?
Two of the scenarios envision massive highway construction to build our way out of traffic congestion, spending tens of billions of dollars on roads that will eat up the last open spaces to accomodate cars that will pollute the last breathable air. The other two scenarios project highway construction at about the present rate. None of the scenarios adequately address the problem of air quality.
What it comes down to is that we don't have enough clean air for several million more people and the cars they expect to drive. While we live downwind of one of the largest, least polluted airsheds in the nation--northern Nevada and Southeastern Oregon--our weather patterns don't always bring that air to us when we need it. The basins and ranges that characterize the geography along the Wasatch Front frequently trap pollution in the basin for days or weeks. Imagine what it will be like during a typical winter inversion with two-and-a-half times as much pollution.
Only scenario D projects spending more than a pittance on mass transit and it only projects $5 billion over 20 years. What would the Wasatch Front be like in 20 years if we went for a truly massive transit program?
Imagine, if you will, a future where families like yours and mine can survive with only one car, or maybe none at all. What would such a city look like?
The exact route of any of these proposed lines will be a matter of debate. Everyone with half an acre will want light rail to run past their property. Everyone with 20 acres will want to sell a quarter of it for light rail right-of-way, so that the remaining 15 acres will be on the line. A better solution would be to put it on publicly owned rights-of-way. Old State Street, running through most of the densest parts of the Wasatch Front, would make an excellent route down through Utah County. North of Bountiful, the Leavitt Lakehsore Line could follow the old Rio Grande right-of-way. This runs about a mile west of I-15.
If the Leavitt Line were built, the land savings would be in the tens of square miles.
Single-occupancy handbaskets
Many things have to change to make this future a reality, not the least of which is the belief that we must be slaves to automobiles.
Forty years of planning and building have yielded an urban landscape where only a minority of people live within easy walking distance of the goods and services they need.
The average car costs thousands of dollars a year to operate, with car payments, repairs, insurance, propery taxes and fuel. Add to that sales-tax dollars and money borrowed against future tax revenue to pay for highway construction.
Sounds great; but how much will it cost?
First, let's look at what our political leaders might be willing to spend over the next 20 years. Let's look at the price tags on Envision Utah's scenarios: |
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Most of these expenditures are for highways
For $10-$15 billion, a truly massive transit system could be put in place. The accompanying chart and maps show the costs and routes for potential light rail lines. Such a system would be augmented with busses running on collector and shuttle routes. No small part of the cost of this should be shared by the communities that mass transit goes through. The increase in density and property values, as parking lots are converted to housing and office space, will be a boon to cities that embrace massive transit.
What will it take to achieve such a future? Things won't happen unless they are pushed. We need to look at what we want our future to look like. As it is, we re being presented with a limited range of options. We need to consider all possibilities. We need to let politicians know where we want to go. We need to lead, not follow.
We are going to have to face increased densities unless we want Skull Valley, Tremonton and Vernal to be bedroom communities for Salt Lake City.
We are slaves to a dream that we can never achieve. The sooner we wake up, the sooner reality will become livable.
by John deJong
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